[Ed. Note: Both Ken Bomben and Mike McCarthy did excellent analyses of Jeanne Borger’s predictions. Although J.B. is not strictly Bay Area, she is widely known enough that an analysis seems instructive. Since we published Ken on the specifics, let’s see the fine job Mike did on the methods.]
It must be borne in mind that a large number of Ms. Borger’s “predictions” are not easily checked, due to her careful phrasing, not to mention her choice of topics. One of her stylistic marks is the “either/or” prediction, of which this is an example: “The threat of a Soviet invasion of Poland still casts a somber shadow across the whole of Europe. …
